Measuring your resultsThe other step, and the one that is more difficult, is determining how well you are doing. Determining your absolute results or whether your net worth increased from year to year is easy. Determining your relative results or how well you are doing compared to the rest of the financial world is not easy. If your stock portfolio went up 15 percent, that is good if the overall market was only up 10 percent. However, if the market was up 23 percent during that same period, a return of 15 percent is not so good. Measuring your results can be difficult in two ways. First, just doing the calculation can be complex, especially if you added or withdrew money from your portfolio during the year. It is also difficult to know which formula to use. There are rate-of-return calculation tools in many computer software programs. If you are using a spreadsheet program, use the internal rate of return function to calculate the total return on your portfolio. Second, you must have some basis of comparison to measure how well you did compared to a benchmark. If your portfolio is all stocks, you may want to compare your returns with those of an index like the S&P 500. If your portfolio is all bonds, you may want to use the return on long-term government bonds as a comparison. You can also compare your returns with quoted mutual fund returns. But remember to compare with a fund that has a similar make-up as yours. If you are a conservative investor with a portfolio of blue chip stocks, don’t compare your returns with an aggressive small company mutual fund. Here is a chart of recent and long-term average returns for three classes of investments. You may find it useful for making comparisons. These returns take into account dividends, interest, and changes in value. They also reflect an internal rate of return calculation that is akin to reinvesting your dividends and interest. |
| Period | S&P 500 | Long-term government bonds | Short-term treasury bills |
| 2006 | 15.80% | 1.19% | 4.80% |
| 2005 | 4.91% | 7.81% | 2.98% |
| 2004 | 10.87% | 8.51% | 1.20% |
| 2003 | 28.70% | 1.45% | 1.02% |
| 2002 | -22.10% | 17.84% | 1.65% |
| 2001 | -11.88% | 3.70% | 3.83% |
| 2000 | -9.11% | 21.48% | 5.89% |
| 1999 | 21.04% | -8.96% | 4.68% |
| 1998 | 28.58% | 13.06% | 4.86% |
| 1997 | 33.36% | 15.85% | 5.26% |
| 5 years – ‘02 to ‘06 | 6.19% | 7.19% | 2.32% |
| 10 years – ‘97 to ‘06 | 8.42% | 7.83% | 3.60% |
| 20 years – ‘87 to ‘06 | 11.80% | 8.61% | 4.53% |
If your results meet your expectations, keep doing what you are doing. If your results don’t measure up, you may want to take action to improve them. This could include changing your stock selection process, urging your stockbroker to help you make better decisions, giving the responsibility to a professional investment advisor, or choosing a different mutual fund.
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